Arsenal vs Newcastle United

Matchup Analysis

Arsenal

Home

Newcastle United

Away

Premier League

Kick-off in —

Betting Insights

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

1 — Arsenal

High

🎯 Both Teams To Score

YES

62.5% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

OVER 2.5

66.7% probability Expected: 3.07 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

79.2% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

UNDER 3.5

29.2% probability Expected: 3.07 goals

Medium

🔄 Double Chance

All results

1X 77.2%

X2 40.5%

12 82.3%

High

🟨 Total Cards

Under 3.5 Cards

Expected: 3.4 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

90.6% probability Expected: 11.9 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

Arsenal CS

Low

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

Arsenal

76.6% 15.5% 7.9%

Newcastle United

WINDRAWWIN

2.75 – 0.83

Expected Goals (xG)

53.6%

BTTS Probability

69.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.21

Arsenal Newcastle United

0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8

Arsenal Newcastle United

50.0 BTTS % 75.0

Arsenal Newcastle United

58.3 Over 2.5 % 75.0

Arsenal Newcastle United

6.35 Avg Corners 5.59

Arsenal Newcastle United

1.05 Avg Yellow Cards 2.24

Arsenal Newcastle United

3.42 Avg Shots on Target 4.4

Arsenal Newcastle United

50.0 Clean Sheet % 16.7

Arsenal Newcastle United

Head to Head (Last 10)

Arsenal

Draws

Newcastle United

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

Arsenal Full Stats

1.86

Avg GF

0.87

Avg GA

50.0%

BTTS

58.3%

Over 2.5

Form: LWWWWDDWWLDD

Newcastle United Full Stats

1.21

Avg GF

1.8

Avg GA

75.0%

BTTS

75.0%

Over 2.5

Form: LLLWWLLWLLLD

Unlock Full Analysis

Value bets, ensemble model breakdown, AI analysis, exact probabilities and more are available with a Pro or Premier plan.

Upgrade Now