Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille

Matchup Analysis

Nantes

Home

Olympique de Marseille

Away

Ligue 1

Kick-off in —

Betting Insights

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

2 — Olympique de Marseille

Medium

🎯 Both Teams To Score

YES

54.2% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

OVER 2.5

58.4% probability Expected: 2.43 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

70.8% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

UNDER 3.5

41.7% probability Expected: 2.43 goals

Medium

🔄 Double Chance

All results

1X 42.4%

X2 70.4%

12 87.2%

High

🟨 Total Cards

Over 3.5 Cards

Expected: 5.0 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Under 7.5

44.6% probability Expected: 7.3 corners

Medium

🧤 Clean Sheet

No Clean Sheet

Low

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

Nantes

19.5% 28.5% 52.0%

Olympique de Marseille

WINDRAWWIN

0.88 – 1.57

Expected Goals (xG)

47.9%

BTTS Probability

44.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

71.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.71

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

41.7 BTTS % 66.7

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

41.7 Over 2.5 % 75.0

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

2.66 Avg Corners 4.62

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

2.54 Avg Yellow Cards 2.35

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

3.42 Avg Shots on Target 4.37

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

33.3 Clean Sheet % 16.7

Nantes Olympique de Marseille

Head to Head (Last 10)

Nantes

Draws

Olympique de Marseille

04 Jan 2026 Olympique de Marseille 0 – 2 Nantes Ligue 1

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

Nantes Full Stats

0.72

Avg GF

1.26

Avg GA

41.7%

BTTS

41.7%

Over 2.5

Form: DDLLLWLLLLLW

Olympique de Marseille Full Stats

1.71

Avg GF

1.61

Avg GA

66.7%

BTTS

75.0%

Over 2.5

Form: WLLWWWLDLDWW

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