Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal

Matchup Analysis

Atlético Madrid

Home

Arsenal

Away

Champions League

Kick-off in —

Betting Insights

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

2 — Arsenal

Medium

🎯 Both Teams To Score

YES

72.3% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

OVER 2.5

59.0% probability Expected: 4.03 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

85.7% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

OVER 3.5

46.4% probability Expected: 4.03 goals

Medium

🔄 Double Chance

All results

1X 47.3%

X2 72.4%

12 80.4%

High

🟨 Total Cards

Under 3.5 Cards

Expected: 2.7 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

82.9% probability Expected: 10.6 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

Arsenal CS

Low

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

Atlético Madrid

17.9% 29.8% 52.2%

Arsenal

WINDRAWWIN

0.76 – 1.46

Expected Goals (xG)

42.4%

BTTS Probability

38.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

66.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

2.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.66

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.61

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

87.5 BTTS % 57.1

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

75.0 Over 2.5 % 42.9

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

3.47 Avg Corners 7.09

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

1.75 Avg Yellow Cards 0.98

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

5.95 Avg Shots on Target 3.38

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

12.5 Clean Sheet % 42.9

Atlético Madrid Arsenal

Head to Head (Last 10)

Atlético Madrid

Draws

Arsenal

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

Atlético Madrid Full Stats

2.37

Avg GF

1.73

Avg GA

87.5%

BTTS

75.0%

Over 2.5

Form: LWLWWDLD

Arsenal Full Stats

1.66

Avg GF

0.61

Avg GA

57.1%

BTTS

42.9%

Over 2.5

Form: DWWDWWW

Unlock Full Analysis

Value bets, ensemble model breakdown, AI analysis, exact probabilities and more are available with a Pro or Premier plan.

Upgrade Now